Internal Rate of Return in Project Management: IRR Formula & Examples

Internal rate of return in project management (IRR) is a frequently used method for evaluating investment opportunities. Despite its popularity, it does have significant drawbacks. In this article, we’ll discuss how to calculate IRR and how to avoid misinterpreting results when using it in practice.

Key Takeaways

  • IRR helps project managers determine investment viability by calculating the discount rate at which their project will break even
  • IRR is used to compare different projects and ensure returns exceed the company’s minimum acceptable rate
  • Higher IRR values usually indicate more attractive projects, though decisions are usually made by comparing IRR with the opportunity cost of capital
  • Project managers must evaluate IRR alongside other metrics, such as net present value (NPV), to measure investment performance accurately

What Is Internal Rate of Return in Project Management?

The full definition of the internal rate of return is as follows: IRR finds a discount rate that is needed for the sum of all present values of future cashflows to result in 0.

Here’s a brief explanation of terms related to IRR:

  • Why calculate the present value of future cashflows? So that the investment calculation takes into account the time value of money, since 10$ today doesn’t amount to 10$ in a year’s time
  • Another term for this is net present value or NPV (the calculation of the current value of a future stream of payments)—you’ll also frequently see a definition that IRR is the discount rate that makes NPV equal to 0
  • A discount rate is the percentage by which future cashflow amounts are discounted to equal their present value; the discount rate that IRR calculates is different that the actual discount rate of your business, also known as the cost of capital

When Is IRR Used?

IRR is a frequently used in capital budgeting, to compare the viability of different projects. It’s mostly used by finance teams and project analysts to make reliable investment decisions. In essence, it provides you with an annualized growth indicator that helps determine if your investment will meet required returns.

Here’s how we put this into a formula:

The Formula for IRR

To calculate IRR, you’ll need to have:

  • The period at which your investment is expected to generate cashflows
  • The amount of money generated on each particular year
  • NPV = 0
  • The discount rate by which you will adjust the cashflows—you’ll need to get to the discount rate with iterative methods, by trying out different rates and seeing which put the NPV to 0

Here’s an example for a time period of 2 years, cashflows of $8,000, and three different suggested discount rates:

YearsIRR = 5%IRR = 20%IRR = 38%
0 -$10,000-$10,000-$10,000
1$7,619$7,272$5,797
2$7,256$6,611$4,202
NPV =$4,875$3,8840

We see that 5% and 20% are not the correct IRR, since the NPV (or the sum of the current value of future streams) is not 0.

So, the accurate IRR is 38%, since the sum of cashflows for year 1 and 2 amounts to $9,999, which is approximately equal to the initial investment of $10,000.

How to Calculate Discounted Cashflows?

If you don’t know how to get the present value of future cashflows, you’ll be in a bind when trying to figure out IRR. Here’s how you can calculate this metric:

You’ll need to:

  • Take the future cash flow amount (the money expected in a future year)
  • Divide this future cash flow by one plus the discount rate (expressed as a decimal)
  • Raise the denominator to the power of the year number (this accounts for how far into the future the cash flow is)

So, let’s say you will receive $8,000 in one year and the discount rate is 37.98%:

Step One: Add 1 to the discount rate → Since the rate is 37.98%, this means 1.3798

Step Two: Divide the future cash flow by this number → $8,000 ÷ 1.3798

Step Three: The result is the present value → About $5,797.94

Example of IRR Calculation

Although it’s a fairly simple calculation, here’s an example of investments with different initial costs and varying cash inflows:

Project 1Project 2Project 3
Year 1 -&1,000-$20,000-$100,000
Year 2$500$11,000$70,000
Year 3$700$13,000$90,000
IRR12.32%7.46%20.33%

As you can see, the project with the highest return also has the highest IRR, which is usually the case. Despite this, IRR shouldn’t be used as the sole indicator for capital budgeting decisions, even if data points to the fact that it often is.

IRR doesn’t take into account the fact that it can sometimes be more beneficial to go with a larger project with a smaller IRR, than a very small project with a larger IRR.

In these examples, going for Project 1 instead of Project 2 may seem logical, but it’s not necessarily the correct choice for the business.

Practical Application: Which IRR Is Good or Bad?

Applying an absolute value to IRR is hard, since the benefit of different investment options varies depending on different internal factors, such as risk tolerance, capital availability, investment horizon, industry conditions, and strategic business goals.

In theory, a bigger IRR is better than a smaller one. Why is this? Because it allows for more leeway between the cost of capital and the calculated IRR.

The basic criteria for going with a project is that IRR > cost of capital. So, the bigger the difference between the cost of capital and IRR, the bigger your return on investment.

However, like we’ve discussed in the previous example, IRR is just one of the financial metrics you should take into account. Net present value is often used alongside it, to provide further context to your financial decisions.

Understanding NPV (Net Present Value)

While IRR is a powerful tool for evaluating investment profitability, it has limitations that NPV helps address.

Like we’ve previously mentioned, it’s a financial metric that measures the total value an investment generates by discounting future cash flows to their present value. A positive NPV indicates profitability, while a negative NPV suggests a loss.

How to Calculate NPV?

Here’s a step-by-step explainer on how to calculate NPV:

  • Identify all cash flows (both inflows and outflows)
  • Choose a discount rate (often the required return or cost of capital)
  • Discount each future cash flow to present value using the formula described above
  • Sum all discounted cash flows and subtract the initial investment

Here’s an example with a discount rate of 10%:

Year 0Year 2Year 3
Original cashflows-$10,000$5,000$7,000
Discounted cashflows$4545.45$5785.12

The final calculation is NPV = $10,000 – ($4545.45 + $5785.12) = $330.57.

IRR vs NPV

IRR and NPV together provide a more comprehensive assessment of investment decisions. These financial metrics should be seen as complementary, rather than at odds with each other.

A screenshot of a comparison between Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Net Present Value (NPV). The IRR section explains that it calculates the discount rate at which a project will break even, helping assess project viability. The NPV section states that it provides a clear monetary value of an investment’s profitability, factoring in actual discount rates or the cost of capital. The image highlights the role of the internal rate of return in project management for financial decision-making.


Here’s how calculating both metrics benefits your financial analysis:

1. Addressing Multiple or Misleading IRRs

IRR can sometimes produce multiple values when a project has alternating cash inflows and outflows (negative cash flows, then positive cash flows, then negative), making decision-making confusing. NPV avoids this issue by providing a clear monetary value of the investment’s profitability.

2. Considering the Scale of Investments

IRR only shows the percentage return but doesn’t consider the absolute size of an investment. A small project with a high IRR might generate less profit than a large project with a lower IRR. NPV accounts for total value creation, helping decision-makers focus on potential investments that generate the highest overall wealth.

3. Aligning With Cost of Capital

IRR does not explicitly compare an investment to the required rate of return. NPV, on the other hand, directly incorporates the company’s cost of capital, showing the real dollar value added to the firm. A project with a positive NPV ensures that the return exceeds financing costs, making it a better metric for decision-making.

4. Resolving Reinvestment Assumptions

IRR assumes that future cash flows are reinvested at the IRR itself, which can be unrealistic. In fact, research by McKinsey shows just how unrealistic and flawed the reinvestment-rate assumption can be:

Managers at one large industrial firm approved 23 major capital projects over five years on the basis of IRRs that averaged 77 percent. Recently, however, when we conducted an analysis with the reinvestment rate adjusted to the company’s cost of capital, the true average return fell to just 16 percent. The order of the most attractive projects also changed considerably.

Source: Justin C. Keheller and Justin J. MacCormack

NPV assumes reinvestment at the discount rate, which is typically more reasonable and aligns with real-world financing conditions.

IRR vs Payback Period Analysis

IRR and payback period analysis are both methods of calculating rates of return.The difference is that IRR:

  • Measures the annual rate of return of a project
  • Considers the time value of money and all future cash flows

In comparison, payback period analysis is a simple calculation which gives finance professionals the period of time within which potential projects will recoup costs. However, it doesn’t take into account the time value of money and ignores cash flows after the break-even point.

Payback period is often recommended to be used as a preliminary step in cash flow analysis. You start by measuring the payback period on different projects, then decide on the actual investment to undertake based on the results of NPV and IRR anaysis.

The Benefits of IRR

Here are the main reasons why IRR perseveres as a popular metric, despite its already mentioned flaws:

  • IRR accounts for the time value of money by discounting future cash flows, making it more accurate than simple return calculations
  • Among different numerical methods for calculating return on investment, IRR is one of the simplest to grasp and calculate
  • It provides a single percentage against which different projects can be compared, despite differences in their absolute value
  • IRR can be useful when the cost of capital is uncertain, as it doesn’t use it as a factor

The Limitations of IRR

Here’s a quick overview of the main limitations of IRR:

  • The results of your analysis are highly sensitive to the accuracy and reliability of the estimated future cash inflows
  • Not suitable for projects where cash inflows are highly variable, as this usually results in a situation where there are multiple IRR values
  • Projects that have different cashflows and where one is obviously more financially viable than the other can have the same IRR, which can lead to bad prioritization
  • Can sometimes make bad projects look good, and good projects better than they are, often due to faulty reinvestment assumptions
  • Doesn’t consider external factors, such as inflation or risk, and how they can impact internal cash flows

Many of these faults can be improved by making financial decisions on the basis of multiple indicators, and not just one.

A screenshot of a pros and cons comparison of the internal rate of return in project management. The cons section highlights that IRR is sensitive to cash flow accuracy, cannot be used for variable inflows, and may lead to incorrect assumptions. The pros section states that IRR is simple to calculate, provides a single number, allows for project comparisons, and considers the time value of money. The image is branded with the "Productive" logo.

Conclusion on IRR

IRR is a valuable tool in project management, though it shouldn’t be your only metric for decision-making. While it effectively measures potential returns and helps compare ROI, you’ll need to evaluate it alongside NPV, payback period, and other financial indicators.

By understanding IRR’s strengths and limitations, you can make more informed investment decisions that align with your organization’s strategic objectives.

If you’re looking for tools and software to help you make informed decisions, consider using project management software like Productive.

With Productive, you can manage project budgets in real time, forecast profitability, and compare different financial scenarios to adjust your strategic planning. Book a demo to learn more.

FAQ

What Is the Cost of Capital?

The cost of capital is the required return a company must earn on its investments to cover financing costs. It represents the minimum rate of return needed to justify an investment. The cost of capital includes debt costs (interest on loans) and equity costs (expected shareholder returns). 

What Are Hurdle Rates in Capital Budgeting?

A hurdle rate is the minimum acceptable rate of return a company sets when evaluating investment projects. It is typically equal to or higher than the cost of capital and serves as a benchmark. If a project’s IRR exceeds the hurdle rate, it is considered viable. 

What Is a Cost-Benefit Analysis?

A cost-benefit analysis (CBA) is a decision-making process that compares the total expected costs of a project to its total expected benefits. The goal is to determine whether the benefits outweigh the costs and justify the investment. 

What Is the Difference Between Rate of Return vs. Internal Rate of Return?

The Rate of Return (RoR) is a broad measure of investment profitability, calculated as the gain or loss relative to the initial investment. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is a specific type of RoR that finds the discount rate where Net Present Value (NPV) equals zero. Unlike a simple RoR, IRR accounts for the time value of money, making it more useful for long-term evaluations.

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Lucija Bakić

Content Specialist

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